Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 514.580546 547.103602 580.892423 618.676195 659.819277 703.340639 752.960720
2026-01-11 472.862688 517.610865 565.954532 622.273437 686.344117 757.274986 842.167976
2026-01-18 444.201330 496.053126 553.607554 622.618321 703.631825 796.354565 911.425624
2026-01-25 424.779339 482.254073 547.500021 627.655874 724.309151 838.169060 984.060010
2026-02-01 409.248765 471.256246 543.028545 633.093300 744.300997 878.737453 1056.076472
2026-02-08 396.686867 462.597937 540.227086 639.529228 764.830127 919.970438 1130.280766
2026-02-15 383.004326 451.588998 533.606999 640.318060 777.597940 951.277325 1192.662394
2026-02-22 370.749203 441.542752 527.388599 640.838322 789.434187 981.275069 1254.288061
2026-03-01 360.908061 433.900781 523.585913 643.886735 804.200780 1015.274597 1322.715503
2026-03-08 350.103121 424.480073 516.951491 642.669162 812.856988 1041.010194 1380.573514
2026-03-15 341.080194 416.887982 512.210350 643.495096 823.953888 1070.188441 1444.567662
2026-03-22 332.391814 409.330424 507.102174 643.411274 833.503731 1097.292741 1506.697376
2026-03-29 324.377978 402.374617 502.512331 643.790623 843.631241 1125.617099 1572.362955
2026-04-05 318.176845 397.541421 500.481476 647.454954 858.351461 1161.032906 1650.808269
2026-04-12 311.160379 391.339632 496.311288 647.835590 868.161412 1189.417123 1719.687417
2026-04-19 306.373807 387.933859 495.745504 653.145930 885.200536 1229.230121 1809.203907
2026-04-26 302.021397 384.935433 495.565658 658.881352 902.948575 1270.793678 1904.147661
2026-05-03 298.274615 382.609845 496.175006 665.670763 922.419195 1315.816839 2007.806407
2026-05-10 292.745593 377.630243 492.858525 666.503016 932.700275 1346.622589 2088.866385
2026-05-17 287.409092 372.745202 489.484954 667.051922 942.439139 1376.851357 2170.759343
2026-05-24 283.179353 369.273028 487.980289 670.268336 956.374132 1414.468230 2268.436116
2026-05-31 277.760587 363.958159 483.639074 668.983628 963.004534 1440.115261 2345.679700
2026-06-07 273.239682 359.788779 480.810437 669.855097 973.039922 1471.858807 2436.510663